Laura Buxton, an English girl just shy of 10 years old, didn't realize the strange course her life would take after her red balloon was swept away into the sky. It drifted south over England bearing a small label that said, "Please send back to Laura Buxton." What happened next is something you just couldn't make up —well, you could, but you'd be accused of being absolutely, completely, appallingly unrealistic.

On a journey to find out how we should think about Laura's story, and luck and chance more generally, Jad and Robert join Deborah Nolan to perform a simple coin-toss experiment. And Jay Koehler, an expert in the role of probability and statistics in law and business, demystifies some of Jad and Robert's miraculous misconceptions.